It seems that I have to repeat the wisdom of the genius philosopher Albert Einstein again and again when he said: ìInsanity is repeating the same mistakes and expecting different resultsî.
The Hybrid Transitional Government (HTG) ñ civilian and military members is repeating the same failed policies and expecting different results. Only three examples will be shown in this article to enhance the argument of Einstein:
1. Curbing the dramatic falling of the national currency. The ousted regime repeatedly reacted to the crisis by two futile measures ñ apprehending the dollar illicit dealers for a short time and announcing and enacting measures to restrict importation of some commodities described as luxury and antagonizing. Few days after the failure of the measure the dealers are set free and commodities allowed again. The HTG started doing the same, unaware of the fact, that neither the dollar dealers nor some commodities are the main reasons for dollar value escalation. To enhance my argument that both are not the reasons I say it is known to everybody that the imports of Sudan since 2014 stood and continued till last year at US$9.0 billion while the dollar value to the pound increased at alarming rates from SDG25 at 2014 to SDG83 today. Also the restricted commodities constitute less than 10% of imports. Logically there should be other reasons for the dwindling of the pound value.
2. Cost of wars and the protracted state of alert of the army since 2003 till now to face the military insurgencies in Darfur, S. Kodofan and Blue Nile constitutes 60% of the budget of which a sizable amount goes to imports of weaponry, ammunition and spare parts. The HTG is following the failed steps of the ousted regime of reaching a comprehensive and inclusive sustainable peace agreement. The HTG is applying the same steps and tactics of divide and conquer in separate meetings with the different armed groups outside Sudan under the auspices and sponsorship of foreigners who have vested interests in the continuation of struggle. The fiasco deliberations end prematurely by a press conference while the leaders of both sides raise colourful files in fake smiles and audience applause and shouting. All previous talks stumbled on the power sharing issue. The HTG should enter the talks on a totally different discourse that discards the issue of power sharing on the grounds that the transitional period is too short to bear any change in the painstakingly agree upon set-up. Moreover, it is agreed that all incumbent members of the Sovereign Council, Ministers and Statesí Governors are not allowed to be part of any institution formed after and by the elections. The new discourse should be holding a comprehensive and inclusive national dialogue inside Sudan and in one of conflict area e.g. Kauda in S. Kordofan, the foothold of the SPLM-N led by commander Abul Aziz Al-Hilu, to address and resolve two issue stopping of wars and redressing the grievances of the Infernally Displaced Persons (IDPs) and the war affected citizens and areas. The dialogue should end up with time matrixes for each area which include: repatriation, rehabilitation of areas, providing decent shelters, clean water, power, schools, hospitals etc. Such matrices will find enthusiastic prompt financial help from friendly governments, NGOs and humanitarian societies regardless of any sanctions previously imposed on the ousted government.
3. The HTG is following the same ambivalent policies and attitude to the regional axes of KSA, UAE, Egypt and Qatar, Turkey, Iran by staying in the grey area between the two. Although there is some improvement in the relation between the two axes but still they will continue to be in the two axes but still they will continue to be in a big difference on the ideological support to the Islamic Movement. KSA, UAE and Egypt are ruthlessly fighting the members of the Muslim Brotherhood while Qatar is the hub of the Islamic Brotherhood Movement. Sudan was under the role of the Islamic Movement for the last 30 years and the December 2018 revolution ousted them. So it is only logical and wise to lean to the KSA, UAE, and Egypt axis. KSA and UAE on the event of an unequivocal alignment with them will be willing and able to deliver Sudan from its alarming economic crisis. So the roadmap to a sustainable transitional period is:
a. Expedite the work of the committee investigating on the sit-in dispersal and killing of hundreds. Presenting the perpetrators to summary courts.
b. Leaning completely to Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates.
c. Initiating new policies to attract the savings of the Sudanese expatriates.
d. Lifting all subsidies and fair compensation to all citizens below the poverty line together with a fierce war on corrupts and smugglers.
e. Transfer all peace talks inside Sudan by convening a comprehensive national dialogue that addresses two issue ñ stopping the wars and redressing the grievances of the IDPs and the war affected citizens and areas. Power sharing to be left to the outcome of the general elections after the transitional period.
Latest posts by Omer Bakri Abu Haraz (see all)
- Wake-up Call: The Vicious Circle of Governance of Sudan - December 9, 2019
- Wake-up Call: Repeating the Same Mistakes - December 2, 2019
- Wake-up Call: Transitional Period History in Sudan - November 4, 2019